Rate of infection spread in Denmark 'higher since schools opening'
The Local Denmark - [email protected]
Published: 30 Apr, 2020 CET.
Updated: Thu 30 Apr 2020 19:38 CET
The rate at which the coronavirus infection is spreading in Denmark has increased since the country opened schools and kindergartens, but not enough to stop the decline in the number of people infected.
According to a new analysis from Denmark's infectious diseases agency SSI, the so-called reproduction rate has increased from 0.6 to 0.9, still below the crucial figure of 1, which means that each infected person on average infects on average one other over the course of their illness.
"There is no indication that there is an actual acceleration of the epidemic," the agency wrote in a status report.
If the reproduction rate is above one, that means the number of infected in a society will grow, if it is slightly below, the number will decline.
"Our conclusion is that the number of admissions as a result of Covid-19 in Denmark has now stabilised at about 20 to 40 admissions per day, and that the reproduction rate is not decreasing to the same extent as we saw in the period before Easter," it said.
The institute modelled the reproduction rate on the back of the number of infected people being admitted to hospital each day.
The new analysis may lead Denmark's politicians to exercise more caution as they decide which parts of Denmark's lockdown to lift next, as the rate is extremely close to increasing above one, meaning the curve will once again begin to turn upwards.
Comments
See Also
According to a new analysis from Denmark's infectious diseases agency SSI, the so-called reproduction rate has increased from 0.6 to 0.9, still below the crucial figure of 1, which means that each infected person on average infects on average one other over the course of their illness.
"There is no indication that there is an actual acceleration of the epidemic," the agency wrote in a status report.
If the reproduction rate is above one, that means the number of infected in a society will grow, if it is slightly below, the number will decline.
"Our conclusion is that the number of admissions as a result of Covid-19 in Denmark has now stabilised at about 20 to 40 admissions per day, and that the reproduction rate is not decreasing to the same extent as we saw in the period before Easter," it said.
The institute modelled the reproduction rate on the back of the number of infected people being admitted to hospital each day.
The new analysis may lead Denmark's politicians to exercise more caution as they decide which parts of Denmark's lockdown to lift next, as the rate is extremely close to increasing above one, meaning the curve will once again begin to turn upwards.
Join the conversation in our comments section below. Share your own views and experience and if you have a question or suggestion for our journalists then email us at [email protected].
Please keep comments civil, constructive and on topic – and make sure to read our terms of use before getting involved.
Please log in here to leave a comment.