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COVID-19 STATS

Covid-19: Denmark registers lowest daily infections in almost three months

Denmark has recorded the lowest number of new Covid-19 infections in a day since late June. The downward trend in infections comes after the country lifted its remaining coronavirus restrictions this month.

Covid-19: Denmark registers lowest daily infections in almost three months
A pop-up Covid-19 vaccination centre at Fælledparken, Copenhagen on September 12th. Photo: Olafur Steinar Gestsson/Ritzau Scanpix

Monday’s daily update from the national infectious disease agency State Serum Institute (SSI) shows 263 new cases of Covid-19.

That is the lowest figure since June 28th, when 243 cases were registered.

It should be noted that the cases were found amongst 26,853 PCR tests, a lower number of tests than has regularly been posted in recent weeks.

However the numbers give a test positivity rate of 0.97 percent, approximately in keeping with the proportion of tests returning positive results in September.

The low infection number reflects Denmark’s high level of vaccination, according to Joachim Hoffmann-Petersen, a doctor specialising in emergency care at Odense University Hospital.

“It is a good starting point for the autumn, where we must expect infections to increase,” said Hoffmann-Petersen, who is also a local and general election candidate for the Conservative party.

“All restrictions are now lifted, so it’s positive the daily infection number is not increasing,” he added.

Denmark all but lifted its remaining coronavirus restrictions at the beginning of September, with the remaining few rules scrapped last week as authorities moved away from classifying Covid-19 as a “critical threat to society”.

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The number of hospitalised patients in the country was unchanged between Sunday and Monday and stands at 125.

“The people who are being hospitalised are largely those who have not been vaccinated,” Hoffmann-Petersen said.

“So if there’s anyone who wants to avoid ending up in hospital, they should get themselves vaccinated,” he said.

The proportion of Denmark’s population now fully vaccinated stands at 73.4 percent at the time of writing. That corresponds to 4,300,780 people. 75.7 percent have had at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine.

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COVID-19 STATS

Denmark’s Covid-19 hospitalisation figure ‘could reach 750’ in December

The number of people hospitalised with Covid-19 in Denmark could increase to 750 this month, according to a projection from an official expert group.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and senior health officials visit a vaccination centre at Copenhagen Central Station on December 3rd.
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and senior health officials visit a vaccination centre at Copenhagen Central Station on December 3rd. Photo: Philip Davali/Ritzau Scanpix

The expert group for mathematical modelling, which is attached to the national infectious disease agency State Serum Institute (SSI), released the estimate on Friday.

As of Friday afternoon, 449 patients with Covid-19 are admitted to hospitals in Denmark. The figure has been increasing in recent weeks but is still some way short of the peak hospitalisation figures from the winter 2020 wave, which exceeded 900.

“There are not catastrophic conditions yet but we have a combination of a tangible lack of nurses combined with this strain (of high patient numbers). It is clearly putting pressure on hospitals,” Kasper Karmark Iversen, senior medical consultant and professor at the University of Copenhagen and Herlev-Gentofte Hospital, told news wire Ritzau earlier this week.

The mathematical expert group calculates possible scenarios in which coronavirus restrictions could be phased out.

“The projections show a continued increase in the number of hospitalisations,” said the head of the group, Camilla Holten Møller.

“New hospitalisations of 70-200 per day and 550-750 in hospital (in total) are estimated up to the middle of December,” Møller said.

The figure for new hospitalisations does not account for discharged patients and therefore does not reflect the overall change in the total number of patients in hospital with Covid-19.

The expert group also predicts between 3,400 and 8,300 new cases of the virus daily by the middle of December. The group notes that its projections do not take into account the vaccination drive launched by the government this week. They also only partly account for anti-infection measures already in place, such as Covid-19 health pass (coronapas) requirements and face mask rules.

A total of 4,559 new Covid-19 cases were reported in SSI’s daily update on Friday. The total comes from 196,932 PCR tests, giving a positivity rate of 2.32 percent.

Daily cases have now been over 4,000 for six consecutive days. Friday’s positivity rate is a little lower than the typical rate seen this week, which is closer to 2.50.

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