• Denmark's news in English

The rise and rise of the Danish People’s Party

Jarl Niclas Bojesen Jensen · 3 Jun 2015, 16:08

Published: 03 Jun 2015 16:08 GMT+02:00
Updated: 03 Jun 2015 16:08 GMT+02:00

Most known for a tough stance on particularly Muslim immigration, the Danish People’s Party has managed to retain its current position as Denmark’s third-largest party ever since the November 2001 parliamentary elections (held in the wake of the September 11 attacks).

Recent opinion polls suggest that DF is likely to gain as much as 20 percent of the vote in the upcoming elections, snapping at the heels of the traditional giants of Danish politics, the Social Democrats and Venstre.

In a trend mirrored by many other European countries, the Danish populist right is rapidly winning over traditionally moderate voters from both sides of the political spectrum, as surveys have shown that the vast majority of DF’s new supporters voted for the Social Democrats and Venstre in the 2011 election.

Former DF party leader Pia Kjærsgaard addresses supporters. Photo: Jens Nørgaard Larsen/Scanpix

Young blood
DF’s broader appeal among the voting public has also increased significantly since the polarizing Pia Kjærsgaard stepped down in 2012 and was replaced by the younger and more rhetorically restrained Kristian Thulesen Dahl. 

Broadcaster DR’s political analyst Jens Ringberg describes Thulesen as being “dressed in the most durable of ‘political Teflon’ – success and voter appeal” arguing that he has been extremely successful at gaining and retaining the loyalty of both old and new supporters.

See also: Ten exciting plots in the Danish election

“In the past one said of the Danish People’s Party and its supporters that whatever Pia does is always the right thing to do. Now, apparently, it’s Kristian Thulesen Dahl who has a very hard time of doing anything wrong [according to his supporters],” Ringberg told DR

Since Thulesen took over, surveys have also shown a very noticeable change in the demographic makeup of DF supporters. Whereas traditionally they have primarily drawn votes from less-educated, older and lower-income groups, their new supporters are younger, better educated, and firmly middle class.

DF’s growth in popularity has also been boosted by the transformation of voting blocs based more on socio-cultural cleavages than economic ones. Identity politics (particularly issues revolving around the EU, immigration and asylum) has taken on increasing importance in Danish politics since 2001.

In the on-going campaign, for instance, two major discussion points are migrant workers from eastern European countries such as Poland ‘taking Danish jobs’ and the rising number of refugees and migrants from the Middle East and Africa.

Kristian Thulesen Dahl and Lars Løkke Rasmussen. Photo: Nils Meilvang/Scanpix

Can these two work together?
Danish political parties are divided into PM Helle Thorning-Schmidt's 'red bloc' and a 'blue' bloc fronted by Venstre leader and former PM Lars Løkke Rasmussen. The majority of recent opinion polls indicate that the blue bloc will win by a small margin. If that happens, Venstre will once again have the opportunity to form a government, but Rasmussen will need the help of other parties in order to gain a majority. That’s where things get tricky.

From 2001-2011, DF was not formally part of the Venstre-Conservative government, instead providing parliamentary support in exchange for implementing what is regarded as some of Europe’s strictest immigration laws.

Even as his party has grown, Dahl has consistently rejected the notion of being a formal part of a Liberal government. There are several reasons for this.

First and foremost is that DF and Venstre disagree on two core issues: the growth of the public sector (DF wants it to grow by 0.8 percent while Venstre wants to halt spending) and Denmark’s relationship with the EU (Venstre wants to end Denmark’s opt-out on EU judicial cooperation while DF advocates more sovereignty).

Both of these sticking points make it exceedingly unlikely that the two parties could ever form a government platform without significant concessions from one or both sides.

Photo: Liselotte Sabroe/Scanpix

Dahl doesn't want his party to end up like SF, which is now fronted by Pia Olsen Dyhr after a 2014 meltdown. Photo: Liselotte Sabroe/Scanpix

The cautionary tale of SF
Secondly, recent history has given Danish political parties a scare that they are unlikely to forget.

The current government initially consisted of the Social Democrats, Social Liberals (Radikale) and the Socialist People’s Party (SF). SF left the coalition in 2014 following a party meltdown brought on by the controversial sale of state-owned Dong Energy to Goldman Sachs and has been punished severely by voters as a consequence of its unsuccessful time as a minor partner in the coalition.
Story continues below…

“The Socialist People’s Party story has illustrated how badly things can go for a party that is part of a government coalition, and the Danish People’s Party has said outright that they do not want to go through a similar experience,” Aarhus University political science professor Rune Stubager told Politiken, drawing comparisons to the closely related Progress Party in Norway, which has also suffered tremendously during its time as a coalition partner in the Norwegian government.

"We want influence"
Finally, DF has already shown it can have the best of both worlds – influence without being forced to compromise – by providing parliamentary support.

When a supporter recently asked him why he was not interested in forming a coalition with Venstre, Dahl said his party would be far better served in a support role than being part of a government.

“We want political influence. We can let the others have their fancy ministerial posts.”

However, a recent survey showed that 69 percent of DF supporters would like the party to be part of a government, and as Stubager notes, “if there begins to emerge a perception that they do not want actual responsibility and to participate in finding solutions, it could cost them voters.”

The real influence that DF is likely to gain from this election however may be more subtle. Already, many parties have hardened their stance on immigration and asylum in an attempt to stop the haemorrhaging of supporters and lure some old ones back from DF. For instance, a recent (and controversial) Social Democrat campaign poster aimed at immigrants and asylum seekers bore the words “If you come to Denmark, you have to work”.

Denmark’s populist right may not be so far to the right anymore – and not because the Danish People’s Party has softened its stance on identity politics, but because the centrist parties have begun to emulate theirs.

For more news from Denmark, join us on Facebook and Twitter.

Jarl Niclas Bojesen Jensen (jnbjensen@live.com)

Your comments about this article

Today's headlines
Denmark to impose new 'integration' rules on kids
Integration Minister Inger Støjberg. Photo: Simon Læssøe/Scanpix

Following an EU ruling last month, the Danish government is fast-tracking new legislation that will put greater emphasis on children's ‘ability to integrate’.

After 1,000 years, ‘forgotten’ Danish Viking fortress opens
The 'forgotten' Viking fortress is one of five in Denmark. Photo: Mathias Løvgreen Bojesen/Scanpix

The historic discovery of a fifth Viking ring fortress was celebrated in grand style on Monday and will open to the public on Wednesday.

Danish royals: Only Prince Christian should get money
Only Prince Christian, shown here with his father Crown Prince Frederik at the opening of a revamped Skovshoved Marina, should expect taxpayer funding. Photo: Michael Bothager/Scanpix

Danish MPs may not need to decide which royal grandchildren to cut off financially after all.

American tourists flocking to Copenhagen
The number of overnight stays and international passengers are both up sharply in the first quarter of 2016. Photo:

American tourists flocking to Copenhagen

1 day ago

A number of new low-price flight options have given the Danish capital a major tourism boost.

My Danish Career
'I was fired from my first Danish job after nine days'
Henrik Cullen is a British-born expat who also holds Danish nationality. Photo: Juan Franco

In the latest instalment of My Danish Career, we spot with British-Danish 'local expat' Henrik Cullen who overcame a rough start to find success in Copenhagen.

Danish man gets stuck in museum chimney
Not the actual chimney. Photo: Adrian Scottow/Flickr

Maybe he just couldn't wait until the museum opened on Monday.

Denmark ready to cut off money to royal grandkids
Queen Margrethe and her eight grandchildren waving to well-wishers on the queens's birthday last month. Photo: Ida Guldbæk Arentsen/Scanpix 2016

Politicians appear ready to limit the number of Queen Margrethe’s grandchildren who get an annual salary from the state.

First service marks Battle of Jutland centenary
A memorial park to mark the world's largest naval battle that took place May 31, 1916 during World War will soon open in Denmark. Photo: Scanpix

Britain yesterday kicked off a week of commemorations marking one hundred years since the Battle of Jutland, the largest naval battle of World War I.

Border checks
First migrants make it from Denmark to Sweden on foot
The Øresund Bridge connects Copenhagen to Malmö. Photo: Colourbox

Dozens of attempts to cross the Øresund Bridge have been made, but this is the first successful crossing.

Seagulls 1, Aarhus 0
Aarhus's Hitchcockian nightmare will continue. Photo: Stefan W/Flickr

Officials in Denmark’s second city declared an all-out war on seagulls earlier this year. They lost.

Sponsored Article
VIDEO: Why Malmö is the world's 6th best city for biking
Green card holders in Denmark in race against time
Green card holders in Denmark in race against time
Sponsored Article
Eat, learn, live: unforgettable holidays in France
How Copenhagen achieved an ‘organic food revolution’
How Copenhagen achieved an ‘organic food revolution’
The second best destination in all of Europe is...
Sponsored Article
Why you should attend an international job fair
We are the champions! Denmark wins world badminton team title
After 100 years, British WW1 sailor identified in Denmark
After 100 years, British WW1 sailor identified in Denmark
Strangest political story in Denmark just got stranger
Keeping Denmark in Europol 'maybe impossible'
Analysis & Opinion
Green card holders tell Denmark to keep its promise
Denmark picks F-35 in historic jet purchase
Denmark to no longer define transgender as mental illness
Danish minister tells 'Sharia' troublemakers to 'get a job'
Danish 'martyr' exhibit reported to police
Denmark extends 'temporary' border measures for sixth time
Denmark nears final decision on controversial fighter jets
Muslim ‘girls only’ swimming sessions ripple Danish waters
Could Danes face a 'red meat tax' to help climate?
Denmark unable to process or issue visas
Denmark to go to war against Isis in Syria
Denmark to go to war against Isis in Syria
Business & Money
How Denmark’s national bank card is about to change
The best Danish bands you've (maybe) never heard of
Danes leaving the church in droves
Atheist campaign gets Danes to leave the church in droves
jobs available